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11.06.2019, 09:23

Every week https://www.coltsfanshop.com/Erik-Swoope-Jersey , I will present a summary of some basic and advanced stats for the Colts performance relative to the league. Thanks to Pro Football Reference, NFL.com and the nflSCrapR project for being awesome sources of weekly data.I have heard the Colts offensive performance against the Giants described as a tale of two halves.After reviewing the numbers, I would say it was more a tale of a very good offense that had a very bad first quarter.In the first two drives, the Colts managed only 6 yards of net offense and a promising third drive effort was killed by a mind-boggling throw-away pick from Andrew Luck.After that, though,the Colts offense dominated. The Colts notched 27 first downs and an impressive 84.4% Drive Success Rate, but almost all of that success came after the first quarter.Here is a breakdown of some stats by drives started in the first quarter vs. the rest of the game:1st Qtr ComparisonDrive Start1st downs (per drive)Yards (per drive)Points (per drive)DSRPasser RatingRushing SuccessDrive Start1st downs (per drive)Yards (per drive)Points (per drive)DSRPasser RatingRushing SuccessTEAM TOTALSOther than the turnover, there is not one bad number up there.Well, I guess we lost Time of Possession . . . so sad.The initial horrible offense (coupled with a horrible defense) caused a pass heavy game script for Indy. Ideally, you don’t want to pass on 75% of your plays.PASSINGLuck was very good last Sunday but his head-scratching interception reduced his Adjusted Net Yards per Attempt to a mediocre 16th place.He had a good completion rate with receptions averaging 7.6 yards through the air, which was 6th longest on the week. But Yards after the Catch were a miserable 3.9, which limited the total Yards per Attempt to just 7.6.However Malik Hooker Jersey , the most important stat is the almost 40% of passes that resulted in a first down (6th best).If your QB can consistently move the chains with his arm (and Luck does) then Cmp%, YAC and YPA aren’t important. RUSHINGGame script limited the run game, which is too bad because the Colts rushers were delivering what mattered.While 3.3 Yards per Carry isn’t that thrilling, it can be a deceiving stat, which is why I always look at how successful the runs were.Marlon Mack only accumulated 34 yards but in that total is a TD, 2 first downs and an 11 yard gain on 1st and 15. That’s successful running and it’s why the Colts cracked the top 5 in weighted Rush Success Rate. CONCLUSIONS & NEXT MATCH-UPThe offense stumbled early, but by the third drive, it was easy to see they were back in sync and put forth a great overall performance. Next up is the Titans, who these Colts hung 38 points on last time around. However, over the past 5 weeks, the Titans defense has been putting up some of the best numbers in the league, limiting opponents to 16.2 points per game and a 2nd best 64% Opposing DSR.Their usually “just average” passing defense has recently stonewalled QBs to a ridiculously low 2.4 ANY/A (3rd lowest). Of course Quincy Wilson Color Rush Jersey , none of that adjusts for opponent and the Jets, Jaguars, Giants and Redskins haven’t exactly been setting the world on fire at the QB position. Against the run, the Titans rank 11th by DVOA on the season, which is similar to my 9th place ranking by wRSR and much higher than the 18th place effort they have put up the last 5 games.Against the Giants, game script forced the Colts to be one-dimensional.But if we can have early success with the run game against the Titans, then we should be able to move the ball.The Colts opened as 1 point underdogs. TRAILING 5 WEEK TOTALS (per game)SEASON TOTALS (per game) JACKSONVILLE, Fla. (AP) — The Jacksonville Jaguars used their bye week to ponder the team’s precarious position.Mired in a four-game losing streak and being 0-2 in the AFC South, they came to this conclusion: They must win at division rival Indianapolis (3-5) on Sunday.It’s essentially a playoff atmosphere for Jacksonville (3-5) in early November.“This is a thousand percent a must-win,” linebacker Myles Jack said Wednesday. “No. 1, it’s a conference game that we’ve got to win. And then we’re on a four-game losing streak, so we can’t lose another game.”NFL teams are usually reluctant to put too much emphasis on any one game Skai Moore Color Rush Jersey , especially in the middle of the season. But for the Jaguars, who openly talked about having Super Bowl aspirations , they understand another loss or two likely would end their dwindling playoff hopes.“We put ourselves in this situation,” quarterback Blake Bortles said. “We created this small margin for error by not winning football games. We’ve put ourselves here. We know we still got a chance and we’ve got to play really well for the whole second half of the season to go where we want to go.”The Jags are counting on running back Leonard Fournette’s return making a significant difference.Fournette missed six of the last seven games with a strained right hamstring. He practiced in full for the first time in more than a month Monday and did the same Wednesday.Jacksonville built its offense around Fournette and hasn’t been nearly as physical or effective without him. The team signed Jamaal Charles for a week and then traded for Carlos Hyde in hopes of filling the void, but neither move paid dividends.Coach Doug Marrone said he lost faith in his offensive line in London, specifically in short-yardage situations, but has since stopped short of proclaiming Fournette the team’s savior.Players, though, believe Fournette’s return could be a turning point.“I know everybody’s fired up to have him back in the lineup,” Bortles said. “I know I’m excited to watch him run. I know guys are excited to block for him and kind of see him go. We got so used to him doing his thing last year and watching that and do everything off of that. Not having him has made us change some of the things we do, but to be able to have him back and healthy and ready to go is exciting.”Marrone evaluated coaches, players and schemes during the bye week https://www.coltsfanshop.com/Jack-Mewhort-Jersey , but decided not to make any wholesale changes. He tweaked the schedule significantly, mostly so guys wouldn’t feel like things were the same after the break.“It’s just kind of like the atmosphere is a little tighter,” Jack said. “Obviously, everybody is — I wouldn’t say desperate — but we just need (a victory). It’s a must-win week. As the weeks go on, it just gets worse and worse. Hopefully this is the week we change it.”With the sense of urgency on the rise, the Jaguars have started to unravel.There was a locker room scuffle last month following a loss to Houston, a players-only meeting the next day and then a run-in with London police over an unsettled nightclub tab.They have eight games left to save the season. It starts with a “must-win game” against the Colts, who have won two in a row.“I don’t think you can look at it as a whole eight games — ‘we’ve got to win eight games in a row or six out of the eight,'” Bortles said. “Obviously, playing Indy is a division game, and that’s an important one.“It’s kind of like Doug talked about all week and all last week: you’ve got to win one to get it rolling. It’s all anyone’s really focused on right now.”